Third Quarter Resort Comparisons

A very interesting observation as winter approaches North America is in watching reactions to forecasts of snow. When watching the news stations or weather channel I have noticed that when snow is forecast for most cities in North America or the US, it comes with a warning for travel and usually with advice for residents to avoid traveling outside and to stay at home. It does not seem to matter whether the forecast is for an inch of snow or several. Ski resort towns, on the other hand, not only do not panic with the forecast of snow, but instead celebrate it. The ski resorts in the western US really don't even take notice or start to get excited unless the forecast is for at least a foot. Then the excitement is not for concerns of traveling around town (we all know how to drive in snow) but rather the prospect of excellent skiing the next day. Just another example of how ski country people are just a little different from the rest of the country.

This past weekend we had a fairly decent storm with 8-10 inches of snow on the Park City side and between 1 and 2 feet in the Alta/Snowbird area. Unfortunately the combination of new snow and early season enthusiasm is a recipe for disaster. Over the weekend and mostly on Sunday, there were around a dozen skier/boarder-triggered avalanches in the Wasatch Range. And most unfortunately, pro-skier,  Jamie Pierre was killed in an avalanche at Snowbird Resort. Prior to the opening of the resorts--Snowbird and Alta don't open until this Friday--the resorts aren't doing avalanche control work and early season enthusiasts forget that while skiing at these resorts, one must take the same precautions as backcountry skiing. This is a lesson that is all too often learned too late.

The third quarter statistics for all of the resorts of the Western Mountain Resort Alliance have just come out and are pretty interesting. The statistics are for most of the major resorts in the western US: Whistler in British Columbia; Park City, Utah; Steamboat, Vail, and Crested Butte in Colorado; Sun Valley, Idaho; Big Sky, Montana; Lake Tahoe, California; and Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Pretty interesting that what I've been reporting for Park City all year is quite similar to what's happening at the other resorts. All year I've been reporting that the number of listings has been down (and for Park City it's down 6% over last year) and likewise, the other resorts are down anywhere from 2% in Whistler to 16% in Big Sky. Only Lake Tahoe is up at 6% and Jackson Hole is even from last year. Over this past year I've been saying the number of units sold has been up in Park City (which it has by 18%) and every resort except for Crested Butte is also showing number of sales up over last year. Vail is basically even, up only 1%. Big Sky, Montana has had the biggest increase at 40% in number of sales of last year, and Crested Butte is the anomaly down 45% in number of sales last year. I have been following these statistics since 1996 and pretty consistently, Vail has always sold about twice as much as we have in Park City. However last year and again this year, total dollar volume sold in Park City has surpassed Vail. Through September, Park City has sold just over $853,000,000 for a 7% increase over 2010. Vail, on the other hand, has sold just under $725,000,000, which is a 24% decrease over 2010. In looking at all of the resorts, four are up this year and five are down. Whistler, Park City, Steamboat and Big Sky are all showing increases in dollar volume over 2010. While Sun Valley, Vail, Lake Tahoe, Jackson and Crested Butte are all showing a decrease. Jackson Hole continues to have the highest average sales price of all resorts with the average sales price for all property types for the entire county of $1,225,000. By contrast, Vail, which we always assume is very expensive, is showing an average for all property types of $898,000 and Park City at $676,000. Jackson Hole has always been expensive because of the scarcity of developable land. Only 3% of all the land in and around Jackson is available for development. This is one of the big contrasts that we have here in Park City where one of our main issues is actually that there is too much land that can be developed. Please feel free to contact me for detailed or more specific information for any of these resorts.

The snow is piling up, the resorts are opening, Park City, Alta, and Snowbird open this weekend, so it's definitely time to find where your ski gear hid itself over the summer and get the ski legs in shape.

Snow, Snow, and More Snow!

President's Week here in Park City finished as it started: with lots of snow. It started snowing Thursday night, and by Saturday morning we had nearly 30 inches of classic Utah fluff. As you can imagine, every powderhound was out Saturday morning enjoying the knee-deep snow. Very difficult to say whether this past Saturday or the previous Sunday was the best day of the year. But both were fabulous and visitors to Park City during the holiday will be talking about this week for many, many moons. With over five feet of snow during the week, conditions have never been much better. Snow during the weekend, sunshine during the week...everyone was smiling.

I was on Main Street Friday night and couldn't believe how crowded it was. I guess I shouldn't have been as it was the holiday weekend and everyone was in town. Main Street merchants, management companies, and owners of rental properties are once again smiling.

Which brings me to this week's real estate topic: the rental market. As I overtoned in last week's blog, at the conference of resort Realtors from the Western states that I attended in Vail at the end of January, we had a presentation from a real estate consulting and appraisal firm out of Denver, Colorado. The presentation's topic was the trends and future of resort real estate. The final portion of the presentation was on the hotel aspect of resort real estate. Not surprisingly, the past numbers from the hotel industry closely mirror real estate sales. 2005 and 2006 made up the high point for occupancy and rental rates. We then saw a pretty steady drop, and then bottoming out in 2009. Similar to real estate sales, 2010 saw an increase in occupancy numbers but not an increase in the daily rental rates that units were commanding. For anybody that owns a rental property in a resort, this is not surprising news. 2009 was a terrible year for rentals and most property management companies reported a decrease in rental days of around 30%. In 2010, we saw visitors returning, but they were still negotiating very hard on prices. What I find very interesting in this report is the future predictions from Colliers Hotel Industry. They are forecasting a steady increase in occupancy days as well as average daily rental rates through 2014.

Click here to see the report.

If this comes to pass, it will be terrific news for the resorts, for owners of rental properties, and for real estate sales. We know the first thing that has to happen is visitors have to come to our town, fall in love, then they purchase.

Right now, we have the perfect combination of low prices, good supply of inventory, and low interest rates. However, we are starting to see interest rates trending upwards. How long this combination is going to last is the focus of much discussion and speculation. But one thing we all feel is that we may never see this combination again in our lifetime. So, come out, ski, enjoy the mountains, and if you are interested in finding a mountain vacation home or just curious about what the real estate market in Park City is doing, please call.

President's Weekend in Park City

Snowing hard, blowing hard...it must be President's Weekend! I’ve just seen more often than not that President's Weekend is very snowy, and this one is no exception. We got about 25” of snow from Saturday morning to Sunday morning. Which of course made for incredible skiing. I was out on Sunday which was as usual a sellout day at Deer Valley and everyone had big smiles. The powder was soft and deep and the groomed was perfect soft-packed powder. Just from watching everybody and talking to people on the lifts they will be talking about this weekend for many moons.

At the end of January, I attended the WMRA annual meeting in Vail, Colorado. These meetings give me an opportunity to meet with fellow resort realtors and discuss with them how their market is faring in today’s economy. The overall consensus was that everyone’s market had improved considerably starting sometime during the 3^rd quarter of 2010.

During the weekend’s meetings, we were fortunate to listen to a presentation from a real estate consulting and appraisal group out of Denver, Colorado. This group has been hired as a consultant for many different projects throughout all of the western resorts. The presentation that they gave was extremely positive and enlightening and quite encouraging. Looking at resort numbers from 2007-2010, a trend became quite obvious. 2007 (and for some areas 2006) was definitely the high part of the market with 2009 the low point. Pretty much every resort showed the same trend: high dollar volume and high number of sales in 2007, trending downward in 2008, bottoming out in 2009, and starting to recover in 2010.

Two other interesting statistics came out during this presentation which I also found very relevant. First was the number of active listings per single family home and condos for each of the Western resorts showed a sharp decline from 2009 through 2010. The second was that the average sales price for homes and condos was at the peak in 2007, declined through 2008 and continued to decline through 2009, then remained relatively flat in 2010. Anyone familiar with economics would find this interesting in that if the number of sales are on the increase while inventory is decreasing. Logic would state that prices should also be on the increase. More demand, less supply, causes higher prices. I believe that we still have enough downward pressure on prices from bank foreclosures and short sales that we will not see prices increasing quite yet. However if the trend of increasing demand and decreasing inventory continues, prices will have to follow.

Click here to view the presentation. (It's a rather large file, so please be patient. It's an excellent read!)

There was another section of this presentation regarding resort hotel occupancy, but I’ll save that for next week. In the meantime, come out to Park City and enjoy the incredible winter we’re having; the skiing is fabulous!

NAR Real Estate Convention In San Diego

This week the National Association of Realtor's (NAR) is holding their annual convention in San Diego, which I am attending. This annual event is attended by over 20,000 realtors from all over the world. The convention is a source of education featuring top real estate speakers from around the country and is a terrific opportunity to meet and network with agent's who deal in a wide variety of markets, not just resorts, which I typically work with. I feel that this is an opportunity to get a better feel for shat is happening nationally in the real estate market. Of course, I still spend quite a bit of time talking to my fellow realtors from the western resorts.

This morning we had our Fall meeting for the Western Mountain Resort Alliance, of which I am the founder and president where we discussed along with business issues what was happening in our respective resorts. The consensus was that while this past year has been the worst that anyone has seen there is some optimism that the markets are turning, or beginning to turn, and that this ski season may see buyers re-entering the market. To give you an idea of what happened to our market last year, see the graph attached. As you can see from this graph, most of 2006 was the high point of the market, with a slight decline in 2007 and 2008. This year we saw a drastic drop in number of sales as well as dollar volume. This has been reflected in home prices in our resort as well as the length of time properties are listed before selling.

As a result of lower home prices which are being perceived as, “bargains”, everyone is seeing buyers getting back into the game. One of things that we have seen over the last year and a half with the slow down of the market was that buyers were still out there and still wanted that vacation ski home but were reluctant to act on their wishes as the U.S economy was spiraling downward. Now that the economy appears to be stabilizing, or hopefully recovering, there is a pent up demand of buyers once again looking for resort real estate.

The Good News Is That It Is Snowing Here In Park City! It started snowing last night, turned very cold and more snow is expected tonight and tomorrow. The resorts have all resumed their snowmaking operations and with a forecast of rainy and snowy cold weather for next week, it is looking very positive for thanksgiving skiing!

Come back next week! I will have further updates on what I have learned here in San Diego and further updates on the resort openings. Also upcoming will be my annual restaurant review of what’s new in Park City.

Western Mountain Resorts Real Estate

This week I traveled to Whistler B.C. and participated in a conference put on by the Western Mountain Resort Alliance, known as WMRA. The panel was composed of a representative from Vail, CO, Jackson Hole, WY, Whistler B.C., and of course me from Park City, UT. The purpose of the panel was to discuss the current market and what has transpired during the past 12 months. Our secondary purpose was to look around Whistler and see how the preparation for the upcoming winter Olympics is going.

The markets in Vail, Jackson Hole and Park City were remarkably similar this past year. We all saw a dramatic downturn beginning last October 2008 which lasted until sometime between March-May depending on the resort. Park City seems to have been the first resort to emerge from the recession with our market turning around in March 2009. Vail and Jackson Hole did not really experience a turnaround until May 2009. All three resorts did not experience a booming summer in real estate but certainly saw sales increasing. All three resorts reported that while there have been some sales at the high end, the majority of buyers are looking at lower end properties and by lower end we generally mean under $2,000,000.

Whistler, B.C. has seen a slightly different market as a result of the upcoming Olympics winter games this coming February, 2010. Like all of the other resorts, their fourth quarter of 2008 and their first quarter of 2009 were depressing for real estate sales. But the second quarter of 2009 in Whistler, while still slow, was significantly better and their third quarter of 2009 was back to normal. They are expecting this fourth quarter to be equally as strong, but then as a result of the Olympic games the Whistler realtors expect that the 1st quarter of 2010 will again be very slow. Having experienced the Salt Lake Olympics and the affect that it had on Park City’s real estate, I explained to the Whistler realtors that while they really should not expect any real estate activity through the games March will pick up and most importantly real estate business in the subsequent years should be stronger.

When driving around Whistler evidence of the upcoming Olympics is everywhere. Streets are being widened, the finishing touches are going in on all the venues, and the town is alive with excitement. Interestingly, security appears to be even tighter than it was for the Salt Lake games. Last night we could only get within a half a mile of any of the venues. We attempted to go to the sliding track where the bobsled, luge, and skeleton events will be held but were turned away by security. The same was true for the cross country venue. As we saw in Park City in October 2001, the village center has an Olympic store and posters/ banners are everywhere welcoming guests to the 2010 Olympics. I learned recently that when the resort of Whistler was first proposed in the early 1970’s it was conceived with the intent of hosting the winter Olympics during the 1980’s. This did not occur, however the village was designed and built with idea of hosting an Olympics so it is very pedestrian friendly and beautifully laid out.

If you have ever thought of going to a winter Olympics the Vancouver/Whistler B.C. Olympics this upcoming February would be a great one to attend. Canada is very easy and friendly to U.S. visitors and the drive from Vancouver to Whistler is one of the most beautiful drives anywhere in the world.

Interesting Times in Real Estate

Most real estate markets throughout the U.S. are struggling to reach some stability and the rocky mountain resorts including Park City are no exception. While the general trend in number of sales has been on an upward trend since March, getting in to specific sales I find the numbers are all over the place. If we compare September 2009 to September 2008 the number of accepted contracts written were up 21% from 105 in 2008 to 127 in 2009. However, the number of units that actually closed was down 7% from 121 units in 2008 to 112 in 2009. I suspect that there are several reasons for this, the first is that in August 2009 only 85 accepted contracts were written and the second is a reflection on the difficulty buyers are having obtaining financing. In the past, from time of acceptance to closing for a property subject financing 30 days was common. With the current lending climate the days needed to close a contract has increased to at least 45 days and can often take longer than that.

Another interesting part of the Park City Real Estate market is the “seller’s mentality.” While we have been in a declining market for at least the past 18 months, this past year has been more like a free fall. Depending on when a property was purchased, sellers are now finding themselves selling their properties for the amount they purchased it for or in some cases less than the original purchase price. After many years of a steady increase in selling price this has been a very bitter pill to swallow particularly knowing that Park City is a highly sought after resort. For the past year Park City real estate agents have been working very hard to educate their sellers on where the market is and to price their properties to sell rather than be in a “chasing a declining market” game. Then the issue becomes that even though we have convinced the seller to price their property correctly, buyers are still coming in and expecting the seller to come even further off of the price. So the education now switches towards the buyer to explain where the market is and the true value of their vacation home. As consumer confidence increases I expect that we will see the number of sales continuing to increase and will be significantly higher than last winter. This could increase the differences in the mind set between buyers and sellers. With all of this said… this winter should prove to be very interesting.

Next week I will be in Whistler B.C. participating in a panel discussion with agents from Vail, CO, Jackson Hole, WY, and Whistler, B.C. Check back next week for what should be a very informative report.

Western Mountain Resorts

This past week I hosted a conference for real estate agents of the western ski resort communities in Jackson Hole Wyoming. We had representatives from Sun Valley, Idaho, McCall, Idaho, Park City, Utah, Vail, Colorado, Breckenridge, Colorado, Steamboat Springs, Colorado, Winter Park, Colorado, Jackson Hole, Wyoming and Lake Tahoe, California. As president of the Western Mountain Resort Alliance my job among others was to moderate a panel discussion of all the resorts. Questions were asked of each representative about their current real estate markets, sales activity, prices, activity on new developments, and sales activity in their golf course communities.

While there were some striking differences between the resorts, the overall market activity was very similar. All of the resorts reported that sales numbers and dollar volume was down around 45-50% comparing this past ski season to the previous ski season. The big differences were apparent in average price and price per square foot in homes and condos sold. Vail grabbed everyone’s attention with new slope side condominium development’s selling for up to $2900 per square foot while Winter Park, CO said their new slope side development’s are selling for around $500 per square foot. Park City falls somewhere in the middle with new slope side development’s selling around a $1000 per square foot. However, Park City does show a penthouse condo in the Empire Pass area of Deer Valley under contract/pending at $1900 per square foot.

McCall, ID, home of Tamarack ski resort, reported that their prices have dropped low enough that nearly every property sold is receiving multiple offers. Several of the other resorts, particularly Breckenridge, are also experiencing a return of multiple offers being written for exceptional properties. Pretty much every resort is experiencing signs that the real estate market is turning for the better.

Near unanimous were the resorts reporting that home sales under $1.5 million and condo sales under $700,000 were the strongest parts of their market. Also unanimous was that vacant land sales were the weakest. The lack of land sales can be attributed to a lack of vacant land near the resorts and the unwillingness of lenders to make loans for undeveloped land.

We discussed at length how golf course communities were doing at each resort. Nearly unanimous was that vacant land and home sales in private golf course communities was extremely slow. Everyone felt that in the late 1990’s and early 2000’s too many golf course communities were developed and that there was just not enough demand for all the supply that came on the market. It appears to us that the resorts, in an effort to become a Four Seasons resort rather than just a winter resort, developed too many golf course communities. For instance, in the Vail area which encompasses an area from the Vail valley and continues west along I70 for about 70 miles there are now 13 golf courses and many of those are real estate communities also. That number got everyone’s attention until Park City announced that we now have 14 golf course communities in and around the immediate area. Jackson Hole only has 5 golf course communities. North Lake Tahoe has 4 golf course communities, all put in many years ago and now North Lake Tahoe is enforcing a moratorium on any new golf course communities. As a result the North Lake Tahoe communities have sold out of all developer product and re-sales are fairly strong. Perhaps the rest of the Western Resorts should pay attention to this lesson.

In final comments almost all of the representatives were optimistic that the increased activity we have seen in the last couple months will continue through the summer months and in to next year.

Shoulder Season in the Mountains

April and May are the shoulder season months in the mountain resorts where one day you are playing golf in shorts & tee shirt and the next day it is snowing. This is the time of the year when locals leave to head for warmer climates and several of the local restaurants and business’s close for several weeks to give the employee’s time off to re-cooperate from the busy winter.

Yesterday I brought in REALTOR® representatives from the ski resorts of Vail, CO, Jackson Hole, WY and North Lake Tahoe, CA to talk to the members of the Park City Board of Realtors about what the real estate market has been like this past year in our neighboring resorts. The panel discussion was attended by 200 members of the Park City Board of Realtors. The questions that we asked the panel members were: Compare the first quarter of 2009 to the first quarter or 2008? What are the strongest and weakest parts of your market? What is the average price per square foot of homes and condos in your resort? What is the price per square foot for new developments and are they selling? And finally, what is your outlook going into the summer?

As far as year to year comparison all 3 resorts were quite similar. Numbers on average were down about 20-30% over the same period from last year. The difference between each resort was the average price per square foot of properties. Lake Tahoe reported that the average price of their high end homes (which are located on the lake) run around $800 a square foot and condominiums located at the base of Squaw Valley run around $300 per square foot. In Jackson Hole the price per square foot of homes near Teton resort range from $1000 per square foot for an older home without ski access to nearly $2000 per square foot for a newer home on the mountain. Condominium’s located in the village run anywhere from $1000-$1200 per square foot. Vail reports that resort condominium’s run from $1600-$1800 per square foot and homes run around $1000 per square foot.

Regarding new condominium developments Lake Tahoe reported that they are essentially built out and have been for quite some time, so other than a couple of newer developments around the base of Squaw Valley they really do not have new condominium projects. In Jackson Hole a couple of new developments, such as The Four Seasons, were selling briskly until this past year at over $1000 per square foot. Vail has several new condominium developments that have just completed or are near completion. These projects are priced anywhere from $1800-$2500 per square foot and as expected, sales have been slow this season.

All three resorts felt that the high end of the market was quite strong but the middle market (homes priced between $1 and $2 million) was one of the weakest areas. The reasoning behind this is that the middle range market homes are not in a particularly good area and tend to be older with only mid range finishes. There is nothing to make this type of home stand out in the minds of buyers looking for exceptional value and location.

Regarding the future outlook, all three panelists were cautiously optimistic going into the summer months. They all reported an increase in activity and interest at the end of this ski season and feel that this will carry into the next few months.

If you would like a more in depth discussion on our neighboring resorts feel free to call me at (435) 640-5851 or email me at DHanlon532@aol.com. In the meantime I am waiting for the next sunny day to break out the golf clubs!

Winter...an impatient season in Park City

These photos were taken on October 12, 2008. Click here to view.

KPCW Radio Interview

On September 18 I had an interview with KPCW, our local Park City station, and was asked to speak about the Rocky Montain Resorts. Click on the link below to listen to this interview.

http://www.pcboardofrealtors.com/FilesGeneralMembers/Statistics/RMRA/Dennis%20Hanlon%20Presentation/dennis_hanlon_9-18.mp3

Busy Week in Park City

Busy week in Park City About 12 years ago I created an alliance of boards of Realtors at destination ski resorts throughout the Rocky Mountain states. With the purpose of sharing market and resort information. The Rocky Mountain Resort Alliance has 12 member boards in four states plus British Columbia, Canada. Our members are in Utah, Colorado, Idaho, and Wyoming. This coming weekend we are holding our spring meeting here in Park City. There are about 20 Realtors from the non-Utah resorts coming here to share information on their markets and issues that are facing the resorts. Over the years this has proved to be one of the most informative and beneficial meetings that I attend. Even though I always hear news from the other resorts, it is best when I am able to speak with my compatriots one on one and be able to get an in depth picture of their market. Watch for a report on the meetings next week.

In local real estate news, business is definitely picking up. Late last week I received an offer on a townhouse in the neighboring community of Heber and yesterday I received a second and backup offer. We have not seen multiple offers in quite some time and hopefully this is an indication that for good properties properly priced, buyers are out there. Also late last week I received an offer on a Deer Valley condo that I have listed and while the negotiations are ongoing, buyer and seller are very close and I am confident that ultimately we’ll see a sale. For the end of May, early June when the town is still quiet, as it is still snowing every week, this activity is very promising for the summer. In speaking with a potential buyer this morning, I again reiterated (and he agreed) that whether it be two or three years from now we are going to look back at this year very wistfully. I suspect that many buyers are beginning to realize this and understand that while sellers are negotiating this may not be the case for much longer. Real estate markets and particularly resort real estate markets can flip from a Buyer’s Market to a Seller’s Market or visa versa very quickly and with little advance notice. The savvy investors understand that the time to purchase is not at the bottom of the market but as the market is approaching the bottom. All too often everyone waits for the market to hit bottom to purchase. If a significant number of buyers all come into the market at close to the same time the market quickly changes to favor sellers and buyers may have lost whatever gains they thought they had realized by waiting.

Sundance and More

The Sundance Film Festival started January 17th and runs through the 27th. Sundance is the largest independent film festival and attracts filmmakers, producers, celebrities and onlookers from all over the world. During the festival, the town is full of filmmakers trying to sell their films, celebrities following the party scene, and visitors looking for the next hit film. It is a very exciting and busy time in our mountain town. Over the years, many films have come out of Sundance to become successful hits with national distribution.

This past weekend I was in Telluride, Colorado for a conference of resort Realtors from the Rocky Mountain west. Everyone is reporting that their market is strong, sales prices are continuing to rise, and dollar volume sold will be equal to or greater than last year. This is very different from what everyone is hearing in the national press about the housing slump. While the resort real estate markets are certainly not immune to the national market trends, we do seem to be somewhat insulated. Everyone is seeing that buyers, while cautious, are still looking for vacation property and have the means to purchase. We are fortunate in that our buyers are not subprime buyers and while the mortgage issues do make it more difficult, they are able to qualify for loans and purchase. Consistent throughout the resorts was activity through the Christmas holiday. Everyone felt that this Christmas was busier than usual with visitors looking at properties. While this did not translate to many sales, that is not unusual. We all find that our buyers who look over Christmas return later in the season or during the summer months to purchase. The entire US is having a great ski season and this translates to all of the ski areas doing well. I expect that the 2007-2008 ski season will end up a record one for Park City as well as the other western resorts. With a record number of visitors in town we are all hoping that this equates to more buyers and more sales.

It has snowed here in Park City 29 of the last 36 days and is snowing hard again this morning. If you have not visited Park City in the past this is the year to see what Utah snow and skiing is all about.

Thanksgiving Week in Park City

It is Thanksgiving week in Park City, the ski resorts are ready to open and all we need is snow. After a very wet September and October, November has been uncharacteristically dry and warm. However the forecast is for colder and snowy weather for the next couple of weeks. If this holds true, most of the resorts will be able to open by this weekend. Thanksgiving week in Park City is traditionally not overly busy. While many years we have excellent skiing, it is always chancy and most people are not planning a ski vacation this early.

I just came back from a National Real Estate convention in Las Vegas where I attended several meetings and classes dealing specifically with resort real estate. In talking with many of my resort colleagues around the country, it was quickly apparent that the Rocky Mountain resorts continue to be the shining star in the real estate market. The northeast and Atlantic coast areas seem to be the hardest hit by the real estate slowdown. Of interest were the resorts in Lake of the Ozarks in Missouri, where business is booming. They report that their sales numbers are up 30% over last year in both number of units sold and average sales price. In talking with other resort realtors, it became apparent that the doom and gloom reports in all the news media is more sensationalism than fact. While there certainly are markets that are struggling right now, the majority of the real estate markets in the US are doing just fine.

More Snow

We seem to be settling into a wonderful pattern of storms every few days. Saturday was cold and several inches of snow fell. The mountains are very white with crystal blue sky and the fall colors are at their peak. What a wonderful time of the year to be in the mountains!

In speaking with my friends in the other Rocky Mountain resorts, it appears that resort real estate is definitely not following the national trend. The resorts of Whistler, Jackson Hole, Steamboat Springs, Vail and Aspen are all showing an increase in number of sales, dollar volume, and sold price for this year. Resorts such as Park City, Telluride, and Sun Valley are showing sales volume either even with or very slightly down from last year, but dollar volume is up and sold prices are up. This verifies what we’ve known for quite some time, that the resort real estate market is very different from typical residential real estate. As our mountain towns have a very limited supply of land available for development, the amount of property we have for sale is limited. By supply and demand, if the demand continues to be strong (which it is), and our supply is limited (which it is), then the markets hold strong or continue to increase. While we know that no real estate market is immune to up and down trends, the resort markets seem to be steadier.

Right now we are seeing a flurry of activity as buyers are looking to purchase a rental property for the ski season. All of the property management companies tell me that their bookings are significantly up for this year, and buyers are looking to cash in. This is the perfect time to come out and look for property, before the busy ski season, when you can actually get into all of the units that are for sale, have choices of property to purchase, and find sellers who are more negotiable now than during the height of the income-producing season.