Memorial Day weekend is coming up, the traditional day of the start to summer, barbecues and pools opening. Unless you live in the mountains. A quick look at this week's forecast is calling for Saturday's weather of 47 degrees and rain, hardly makes you feel like summer. People frequently ask if Memorial Day is a busy weekend in real estate and a good time to hold open houses. Anywhere else but the mountains, this holds true. But up here, more people leave than come into town for the holiday.
Last week Thursday I hosted and was moderator for a panel discussion of resort Realtors for three of our neighboring resorts: Lake Tahoe, California; Sun Valley, Idaho; and Vail, Colorado, that was attended by the Park City Board of Realtors. It was a wonderful lunch meeting with over 200 Park City agents in attendance. Not surprisingly, while there are some regional differences, the state of real estate in each of these resorts is very similar to what we're seeing here in Park City. Numbers of sales were up, prices are down and the general feeling is that prices will not be rising anytime soon due to pressure from distressed properties. The differences are in the details for each area. For example, in Vail, high-end condos in the heart of the village have sold at over $2,800 a square foot. Lake Tahoe, where is the real focus of the resort is around the lake (instead of the ski resorts) there are very few condos for sale and prices are around $400 per square foot. Sun Valley is in between but closer to Lake Tahoe with maximum prices pushing but not exceeding $1,000 a square foot. Here in Park City, our high-end ski-in/ski-out hotels on the mountain of Deer Valley sell for between $1,300 and $1,500 per square foot. (Throughout the 16 years I've been involved with the Western Mountain Resort Alliance, prices and amount of real estate sold in Vail have always been the envy of the other resort Realtors.) Each of the resorts reported that skier visits to the resorts, lodging numbers and retail numbers were up 5-10% over last year. Everyone was pretty happy with this gain and gave their confidence that this summer's real estate activity and visitor traffic would continue with upward trends.
Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
Friday, March 19, 2010
Springtime in the Mountains
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
A Retrospective Of Park City
A year ago the global financial crisis had begun just as we entered into the busy winter season and almost every financial decision was placed on hold as the nation watched the crisis deepen. This year is a very different story as now the U.S. is beginning a real recovery as the winter season begins. The stock market has regained much of its loss and even though unemployment remains high consumers are feeling more confident that the recovery is real. Proof of this is exemplified by the numerous closings of sales and the opening of the St. Regis Hotel and Flagstaff condominiums in Deer Valley. While most of these transactions were contracted nearly three years ago the fact that these owners are closing on the transactions is a demonstration of their confidence in the recovery and that their expectations of the product has been exceeded.
Park City is nearing its final build-out as we near 2010. With the exception of the two main parking lots and base areas of all three ski resorts, the core area of Park City is all built out. The physical constraints of our small valley make for a very limited amount of future development. Inventory’s of listings in the Park City area are diminishing again and with continued low interest rates combined with low prices I expect to continue their decline. At some point in the very near future we all anticipate that interest rates will start an upward decline as we enter a more inflationary period. This is what makes buying now such an unusual opportunity…some may say the “perfect storm” for buyers. Many of us remember the two previous recessions when interest rates were over 17% simultaneous with an economic downturn, which makes this downturn so unusual. Buyers now have the opportunity that they have always wished for, to wind back the clock on prices and low interest rates.
An important element of this point in time is that is has humbled all of us and we have to push the reset button, however it also helps up refocus on what is important and that is the lifestyle that we live here in Park City and all the good things it brings. If you have already established a beach head here in Park City I hope that you can take this winter to visit and remember just what brought you here in the first place. For those of us who live here this past year has been an opportunity to do the same thing. There may never be a better time to own a piece of what you always wanted. Whether it is for the first time or to see it with fresh eyes, I am here to show you around and help you discover what makes Park City such a special place to live.
I wish everyone a happy and safe New Years and a welcome end to the roller coaster ride of the first decade of the new millennium. Here is to a prosperous 2010-Happy New Year Everyone!
Friday, November 20, 2009
Is This the Right Time to Buy?
If you have been following this blog for the past few months you have most likely noticed a reoccurring theme that I feel that this is the time to buy resort real estate. As I have been showing buyers property over the last few weeks and talking to other buyers on the phone, they are asking me why I feel this is the time to buy. Another great question that somebody asked is, what do I tell people who purchased at the height of the market two or three years ago? These are both excellent questions and I would like to address them in this blog.
First, what do I say to people that purchased during the height of the market and have seen their property values decline over the past 2 years? As would be expected, I have several clients in this situation and I have talked with them at length about this. The first response is that while yes the property value has declined, they have had a wonderful vacation home to enjoy with their family and friends. It is impossible to put a value on the quality time that a family is able to spend together. Time spent reconnecting with children and a grandchildren who may have scattered around the country is priceless. Second, I frequently hear my clients say that had they not purchased their vacation home and instead invested that money in the stock market they would have lost more money than the value of their real estate has declined. While not overly pleased that the values have declined, everyone understands that it is a function of the global economy and are comfortable with their decision to have purchased. As long as the intent of the purchase was to actually use the property and not just flip it for a quick profit, my buyers are generally pleased with their decision.
So, why do I think now is the time to buy? After watching real estate values decline over the last 18 months I am beginning to see some sign of stabilization. However to best answer this question I need to ask two questions, first, “do you think real estate prices in a resort such as park city will increase in the next 3 to 5 years?” Second, “do you believe that interest rates, which are at historic lows, are going to go up in the near future?” If you answered yes to both of these questions, as I did, then combined with low real estate prices, strong inventory, and sellers willing to negotiate you can see why I feel that this is the right time to purchase.
It fascinates me to observe that in a “buyers market” as we are currently experiencing, buyers are reluctant to buy. However when the market is hot, as we saw in 2006, everyone wants to jump in and purchase property, even though the sellers have the advantage.
Are we at the bottom of the real estate market? Maybe… maybe not, I don’t know of anyone who can predict the bottom; however we are most likely close enough to the bottom that it makes sense to act on the desire to own a ski vacation home. This is exactly what I have been seeing for the past few months. The savvy investors who are looking for bargains have moved from the “wait and watch” to “buy”. This is now drawing the buyers who have wanted a ski home in to the market. With the stock market having regained most of its value, from the low point last March, and now seeming to fluctuate around the 10,000 mark there is widespread feeling that we may be coming out of this recession. The segment that still needs to come around is the employment market. With unemployment running around 10% it is hard for the American consumer to fully regain their confidence and to feel comfortable making a large purchase such as a vacation home. Not “if” but “when” lenders open up their credit and start lending on new construction we should see a decrease in unemployment and renewed confidence by the consumer. Whether this begins to turn around this year or next year, we will most likely see more buyers returning to our market which usually causes sellers to become less negotiable. So for these reasons I feel that there is an opportunity to purchase resort real estate at prices that we may not see again for some time, yes I feel prices will be going up in the next few years, yes I feel that interest rates will be going up and yes I feel that institutional lenders will start freeing up money.
However if you have been looking for a vacation home lets go back to the first point that I brought up and that is having a gathering spot for your family and friends to spend quality time together and to reconnect is the biggest benefit that you will receive.
First, what do I say to people that purchased during the height of the market and have seen their property values decline over the past 2 years? As would be expected, I have several clients in this situation and I have talked with them at length about this. The first response is that while yes the property value has declined, they have had a wonderful vacation home to enjoy with their family and friends. It is impossible to put a value on the quality time that a family is able to spend together. Time spent reconnecting with children and a grandchildren who may have scattered around the country is priceless. Second, I frequently hear my clients say that had they not purchased their vacation home and instead invested that money in the stock market they would have lost more money than the value of their real estate has declined. While not overly pleased that the values have declined, everyone understands that it is a function of the global economy and are comfortable with their decision to have purchased. As long as the intent of the purchase was to actually use the property and not just flip it for a quick profit, my buyers are generally pleased with their decision.
So, why do I think now is the time to buy? After watching real estate values decline over the last 18 months I am beginning to see some sign of stabilization. However to best answer this question I need to ask two questions, first, “do you think real estate prices in a resort such as park city will increase in the next 3 to 5 years?” Second, “do you believe that interest rates, which are at historic lows, are going to go up in the near future?” If you answered yes to both of these questions, as I did, then combined with low real estate prices, strong inventory, and sellers willing to negotiate you can see why I feel that this is the right time to purchase.
It fascinates me to observe that in a “buyers market” as we are currently experiencing, buyers are reluctant to buy. However when the market is hot, as we saw in 2006, everyone wants to jump in and purchase property, even though the sellers have the advantage.
Are we at the bottom of the real estate market? Maybe… maybe not, I don’t know of anyone who can predict the bottom; however we are most likely close enough to the bottom that it makes sense to act on the desire to own a ski vacation home. This is exactly what I have been seeing for the past few months. The savvy investors who are looking for bargains have moved from the “wait and watch” to “buy”. This is now drawing the buyers who have wanted a ski home in to the market. With the stock market having regained most of its value, from the low point last March, and now seeming to fluctuate around the 10,000 mark there is widespread feeling that we may be coming out of this recession. The segment that still needs to come around is the employment market. With unemployment running around 10% it is hard for the American consumer to fully regain their confidence and to feel comfortable making a large purchase such as a vacation home. Not “if” but “when” lenders open up their credit and start lending on new construction we should see a decrease in unemployment and renewed confidence by the consumer. Whether this begins to turn around this year or next year, we will most likely see more buyers returning to our market which usually causes sellers to become less negotiable. So for these reasons I feel that there is an opportunity to purchase resort real estate at prices that we may not see again for some time, yes I feel prices will be going up in the next few years, yes I feel that interest rates will be going up and yes I feel that institutional lenders will start freeing up money.
However if you have been looking for a vacation home lets go back to the first point that I brought up and that is having a gathering spot for your family and friends to spend quality time together and to reconnect is the biggest benefit that you will receive.
Friday, October 23, 2009
Western Mountain Resorts Real Estate
This week I traveled to Whistler B.C. and participated in a conference put on by the Western Mountain Resort Alliance, known as WMRA. The panel was composed of a representative from Vail, CO, Jackson Hole, WY, Whistler B.C., and of course me from Park City, UT. The purpose of the panel was to discuss the current market and what has transpired during the past 12 months. Our secondary purpose was to look around Whistler and see how the preparation for the upcoming winter Olympics is going.
The markets in Vail, Jackson Hole and Park City were remarkably similar this past year. We all saw a dramatic downturn beginning last October 2008 which lasted until sometime between March-May depending on the resort. Park City seems to have been the first resort to emerge from the recession with our market turning around in March 2009. Vail and Jackson Hole did not really experience a turnaround until May 2009. All three resorts did not experience a booming summer in real estate but certainly saw sales increasing. All three resorts reported that while there have been some sales at the high end, the majority of buyers are looking at lower end properties and by lower end we generally mean under $2,000,000.
Whistler, B.C. has seen a slightly different market as a result of the upcoming Olympics winter games this coming February, 2010. Like all of the other resorts, their fourth quarter of 2008 and their first quarter of 2009 were depressing for real estate sales. But the second quarter of 2009 in Whistler, while still slow, was significantly better and their third quarter of 2009 was back to normal. They are expecting this fourth quarter to be equally as strong, but then as a result of the Olympic games the Whistler realtors expect that the 1st quarter of 2010 will again be very slow. Having experienced the Salt Lake Olympics and the affect that it had on Park City’s real estate, I explained to the Whistler realtors that while they really should not expect any real estate activity through the games March will pick up and most importantly real estate business in the subsequent years should be stronger.
When driving around Whistler evidence of the upcoming Olympics is everywhere. Streets are being widened, the finishing touches are going in on all the venues, and the town is alive with excitement. Interestingly, security appears to be even tighter than it was for the Salt Lake games. Last night we could only get within a half a mile of any of the venues. We attempted to go to the sliding track where the bobsled, luge, and skeleton events will be held but were turned away by security. The same was true for the cross country venue. As we saw in Park City in October 2001, the village center has an Olympic store and posters/ banners are everywhere welcoming guests to the 2010 Olympics. I learned recently that when the resort of Whistler was first proposed in the early 1970’s it was conceived with the intent of hosting the winter Olympics during the 1980’s. This did not occur, however the village was designed and built with idea of hosting an Olympics so it is very pedestrian friendly and beautifully laid out.
If you have ever thought of going to a winter Olympics the Vancouver/Whistler B.C. Olympics this upcoming February would be a great one to attend. Canada is very easy and friendly to U.S. visitors and the drive from Vancouver to Whistler is one of the most beautiful drives anywhere in the world.
The markets in Vail, Jackson Hole and Park City were remarkably similar this past year. We all saw a dramatic downturn beginning last October 2008 which lasted until sometime between March-May depending on the resort. Park City seems to have been the first resort to emerge from the recession with our market turning around in March 2009. Vail and Jackson Hole did not really experience a turnaround until May 2009. All three resorts did not experience a booming summer in real estate but certainly saw sales increasing. All three resorts reported that while there have been some sales at the high end, the majority of buyers are looking at lower end properties and by lower end we generally mean under $2,000,000.
Whistler, B.C. has seen a slightly different market as a result of the upcoming Olympics winter games this coming February, 2010. Like all of the other resorts, their fourth quarter of 2008 and their first quarter of 2009 were depressing for real estate sales. But the second quarter of 2009 in Whistler, while still slow, was significantly better and their third quarter of 2009 was back to normal. They are expecting this fourth quarter to be equally as strong, but then as a result of the Olympic games the Whistler realtors expect that the 1st quarter of 2010 will again be very slow. Having experienced the Salt Lake Olympics and the affect that it had on Park City’s real estate, I explained to the Whistler realtors that while they really should not expect any real estate activity through the games March will pick up and most importantly real estate business in the subsequent years should be stronger.
When driving around Whistler evidence of the upcoming Olympics is everywhere. Streets are being widened, the finishing touches are going in on all the venues, and the town is alive with excitement. Interestingly, security appears to be even tighter than it was for the Salt Lake games. Last night we could only get within a half a mile of any of the venues. We attempted to go to the sliding track where the bobsled, luge, and skeleton events will be held but were turned away by security. The same was true for the cross country venue. As we saw in Park City in October 2001, the village center has an Olympic store and posters/ banners are everywhere welcoming guests to the 2010 Olympics. I learned recently that when the resort of Whistler was first proposed in the early 1970’s it was conceived with the intent of hosting the winter Olympics during the 1980’s. This did not occur, however the village was designed and built with idea of hosting an Olympics so it is very pedestrian friendly and beautifully laid out.
If you have ever thought of going to a winter Olympics the Vancouver/Whistler B.C. Olympics this upcoming February would be a great one to attend. Canada is very easy and friendly to U.S. visitors and the drive from Vancouver to Whistler is one of the most beautiful drives anywhere in the world.
Thursday, October 15, 2009
Interesting Times in Real Estate
Most real estate markets throughout the U.S. are struggling to reach some stability and the rocky mountain resorts including Park City are no exception. While the general trend in number of sales has been on an upward trend since March, getting in to specific sales I find the numbers are all over the place. If we compare September 2009 to September 2008 the number of accepted contracts written were up 21% from 105 in 2008 to 127 in 2009. However, the number of units that actually closed was down 7% from 121 units in 2008 to 112 in 2009. I suspect that there are several reasons for this, the first is that in August 2009 only 85 accepted contracts were written and the second is a reflection on the difficulty buyers are having obtaining financing. In the past, from time of acceptance to closing for a property subject financing 30 days was common. With the current lending climate the days needed to close a contract has increased to at least 45 days and can often take longer than that.
Another interesting part of the Park City Real Estate market is the “seller’s mentality.” While we have been in a declining market for at least the past 18 months, this past year has been more like a free fall. Depending on when a property was purchased, sellers are now finding themselves selling their properties for the amount they purchased it for or in some cases less than the original purchase price. After many years of a steady increase in selling price this has been a very bitter pill to swallow particularly knowing that Park City is a highly sought after resort. For the past year Park City real estate agents have been working very hard to educate their sellers on where the market is and to price their properties to sell rather than be in a “chasing a declining market” game. Then the issue becomes that even though we have convinced the seller to price their property correctly, buyers are still coming in and expecting the seller to come even further off of the price. So the education now switches towards the buyer to explain where the market is and the true value of their vacation home. As consumer confidence increases I expect that we will see the number of sales continuing to increase and will be significantly higher than last winter. This could increase the differences in the mind set between buyers and sellers. With all of this said… this winter should prove to be very interesting.
Next week I will be in Whistler B.C. participating in a panel discussion with agents from Vail, CO, Jackson Hole, WY, and Whistler, B.C. Check back next week for what should be a very informative report.
Another interesting part of the Park City Real Estate market is the “seller’s mentality.” While we have been in a declining market for at least the past 18 months, this past year has been more like a free fall. Depending on when a property was purchased, sellers are now finding themselves selling their properties for the amount they purchased it for or in some cases less than the original purchase price. After many years of a steady increase in selling price this has been a very bitter pill to swallow particularly knowing that Park City is a highly sought after resort. For the past year Park City real estate agents have been working very hard to educate their sellers on where the market is and to price their properties to sell rather than be in a “chasing a declining market” game. Then the issue becomes that even though we have convinced the seller to price their property correctly, buyers are still coming in and expecting the seller to come even further off of the price. So the education now switches towards the buyer to explain where the market is and the true value of their vacation home. As consumer confidence increases I expect that we will see the number of sales continuing to increase and will be significantly higher than last winter. This could increase the differences in the mind set between buyers and sellers. With all of this said… this winter should prove to be very interesting.
Next week I will be in Whistler B.C. participating in a panel discussion with agents from Vail, CO, Jackson Hole, WY, and Whistler, B.C. Check back next week for what should be a very informative report.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Snow, Snow, Snow
This September was the most beautiful that I have seen here in Park City. Every day was bright blue skies and warm balmy days. With some early cold weather that we had in August and all of the rain in June, the trees turned a little earlier than normal, but were particularly vibrant this year. Then today arrived, September 30, 2009 and we were reminded that we do live in the mountains. A very strong cold front arrived during the night with thunder, lightening and howling winds. We woke up this morning to rain which quickly changed to snow. It has been snowing all day here in Park City and while it is not sticking to the ground here in town the mountains are certainly white. The extended forecast is for more snow off and on for the next week. A certain reminder that winter is on its way and ski season is not far. While the resorts generally open in mid November, I have seen excellent skiing on Halloween…perhaps this will be one of those years.
In real estate news the real estate recovery seems to be continuing here in Park City. After a dismal start to the year the summer months were stronger than last year and the trend is continuing. For example, the number of properties under contract but not yet closed is down this year from last. There have been 750 homes pended this year and 912 in 2008. The number of pending sales increased for the month of August, 116 this year compared to 110 in 2008. Year to date, condos and land pending sales were down 16% and 42%. However during the month of August, condo sales were up 79% and while land sales were still down compared to last year they were down less than 30%. In numbers of actual closed listings year to date, we are off about 34%, 635 closed this year compared to 969 in 2008. The number of single family homes sold in the month of August was even last year and condo sales were off about 15%. The big drop in sales so far this year compared to last year is in vacant land, only 9 parcels closed this year compared to 22 in 2008. This reflects the caution of spec builders right now. With the lack of new home starts here in Park City and the likelihood that there will not be many for the next year to year and a half, newly completed homes are a rarity and are sought after if they are within the city limits. In the Deer Valley area there are less than a handful of newly completed homes for buyers to choose from. Everything else is either an existing older home or at best an older home that has been remodeled or updated. I expect that as a result of this new homes may be in demand this ski season. Scarcity has always been a significant driving factor in real estate.
With the new snow in the mountains as a backdrop for the bright gold’s and red’s, if there is any way to come out to the mountains this is the time to do it.
Thursday, September 17, 2009
Still #1
While it has not hit the newsstands yet we have heard that the next issue of Ski Magazine will show Deer Valley Resort as the #1 rated ski resort in North America for the 3rd year in a row. The rankings are the result of a survey that Ski Magazine sends to its readers each year. Readers are asked to rate the resorts that they have visited on the quality of their experience in a number of key areas. The survey asks readers to rank their experience in areas such as; customer service, snow quality, variety of terrain, run’s, on mountain food service, and proximity to night life and other amenities as well as their overall experience. For the 3rd year in a row the readers of Ski Magazine have rated Deer Valley as their #1 favorite resort in North America. Given the number and quality of western ski resorts, this is quite an accomplishment and Deer Valley is justifiably proud that its commitment to their guests is acknowledged and appreciated. While I have not seen the rest of the survey, Park City and The Canyons Resorts are usually ranked in or near the top 10.
In looking at real estate pended sales for each month the trend that I noted that began in March continued through August and has strengthened. Each month since March the number of pended sales has increased from the previous month and is now similar to where we were in September 2007.
There is still much debate as to whether the economic recovery that we are seeing is real and sustainable. On one side, the feeling is that the continued high unemployment rate remains to be a detriment to the recovery and that as a result the economy is destined to grow weakly. The feeling is that until more Americans are employed consumer spending will continue to be slow. While there will certainly be spikes in spending brought on by stimulus programs such as “Cash for Clunkers”, these are temporary spikes and not sustainable.
On the other hand, optimists say that the rebound will help kick start a self- sustaining recovery where improved confidence leads to consumers and business’s starting to spending more. Time will tell which of these scenarios will come true, or will it be somewhere in between?
What I have seen in Park City is that in many areas the number of sales from January 1st through August 31st comparing 2008 to 2009 there were more sales in this time frame in 2009. However, the average sold price was generally down in 2009 compared to the same time frame in 2008. This reinforces my statements several weeks ago that the bargain hunter buyers have moved from a “wait and see” to a “buy” position. It is certainly true that if a property is not perceived as a bargain, buyers are rarely interested in it right now.
I do believe that as the bargain properties are removed from the market we will see a slow and gradual return of prices. I am already seeing some signs of this as sellers are beginning to not give away quite as much as they were a month ago. Fall is typically a transition month for sales where we start to see more investors and 2nd home buyers looking to pick up a ski property for the upcoming ski season. I think that the next two months are going to be very telling whether the recovery of the market in Park City is real or is just a temporary correction.
September has been particularly spectacular with warm days, cool nights, and right now the mountains are full of red oak and maple trees. Most everyone feels that this is the best month of the year so come out and visit us and experience fall in the Rocky Mountains.
In looking at real estate pended sales for each month the trend that I noted that began in March continued through August and has strengthened. Each month since March the number of pended sales has increased from the previous month and is now similar to where we were in September 2007.
There is still much debate as to whether the economic recovery that we are seeing is real and sustainable. On one side, the feeling is that the continued high unemployment rate remains to be a detriment to the recovery and that as a result the economy is destined to grow weakly. The feeling is that until more Americans are employed consumer spending will continue to be slow. While there will certainly be spikes in spending brought on by stimulus programs such as “Cash for Clunkers”, these are temporary spikes and not sustainable.
On the other hand, optimists say that the rebound will help kick start a self- sustaining recovery where improved confidence leads to consumers and business’s starting to spending more. Time will tell which of these scenarios will come true, or will it be somewhere in between?
What I have seen in Park City is that in many areas the number of sales from January 1st through August 31st comparing 2008 to 2009 there were more sales in this time frame in 2009. However, the average sold price was generally down in 2009 compared to the same time frame in 2008. This reinforces my statements several weeks ago that the bargain hunter buyers have moved from a “wait and see” to a “buy” position. It is certainly true that if a property is not perceived as a bargain, buyers are rarely interested in it right now.
I do believe that as the bargain properties are removed from the market we will see a slow and gradual return of prices. I am already seeing some signs of this as sellers are beginning to not give away quite as much as they were a month ago. Fall is typically a transition month for sales where we start to see more investors and 2nd home buyers looking to pick up a ski property for the upcoming ski season. I think that the next two months are going to be very telling whether the recovery of the market in Park City is real or is just a temporary correction.
September has been particularly spectacular with warm days, cool nights, and right now the mountains are full of red oak and maple trees. Most everyone feels that this is the best month of the year so come out and visit us and experience fall in the Rocky Mountains.
Wednesday, September 2, 2009
Miners Day Weekend
This coming weekend most everyone is the U.S. will be celebrating Labor Day with parades, festivities and BBQ’s over the 3 day weekend. Here in Park City we celebrate our mining history and consequently re-named the holiday Miner’s Day.
Like everywhere else, we celebrate this with a parade, BBQ, music and festivities at the City Park. We add in the mining twist by bringing out old pneumatic mining drills and have mucking and drilling contests throughout the day. The drilling part of the contest involves taking the extremely heavy and awkward drills and drilling a series of holes in a slab of granite. This is a timed event with the person completing the drilling the in shortest amount of time the victor. The mucking involves an ore cart on a set of tracks and a pneumatic powered shovel in front. The miner lowers the shovel and powers the cart in to a pile of waste rock from the mine, hoists it up and dumps it into the cart. He then backs the cart up and moves in forward into the pile, repeating the process until the cart is full. Again this is a timed event. The contestants are past and current miners from Park City and the surrounding area. One of our other long standing traditions has unfortunately fallen by the wayside. This was the traditional wake up call on Miners day. Until recently at 6am on Miners day the town would light dynamite and explode for about 20 minutes to wake the town up. There was never any chance of sleeping through this as windows and walls shook from the concussion causing family pets to dive for cover and new residents to wonder what was going on.
In Real Estate news the real estate market continues to improve with each week seeming to be stronger than the last in the number of contracts written. This past Monday several Prudential agents were discussing the possibility that we may have passed the bottom of the market. Interestingly in talking with a good friend of mine who is an investment advisor with Smith Barney about downturns in the market, I made the comment that by the time the buying public realizes that we have reached the bottom of the stock market, it is already too late and the bottom has already passed. His reply surprised me when he said that studies have shown that investors who purchased 6 months after the bottom historically have made the largest profit. Can we apply the same analogy to real estate? Most probably so and if both are true that we are past the bottom of the market and are on the upswing and that investors purchasing in the next 6 months are most likely to realize the largest gains, this should be an interesting fall and winter season.
I recently found an article online about pending home sales rising for six months in a row. Click here to read this very interesting article or copy and paste this link into your browser: http://rismedia.com/2009-09-01/pending-home-sales-on-a-roll-up-for-sixth-straight-month/
Like everywhere else, we celebrate this with a parade, BBQ, music and festivities at the City Park. We add in the mining twist by bringing out old pneumatic mining drills and have mucking and drilling contests throughout the day. The drilling part of the contest involves taking the extremely heavy and awkward drills and drilling a series of holes in a slab of granite. This is a timed event with the person completing the drilling the in shortest amount of time the victor. The mucking involves an ore cart on a set of tracks and a pneumatic powered shovel in front. The miner lowers the shovel and powers the cart in to a pile of waste rock from the mine, hoists it up and dumps it into the cart. He then backs the cart up and moves in forward into the pile, repeating the process until the cart is full. Again this is a timed event. The contestants are past and current miners from Park City and the surrounding area. One of our other long standing traditions has unfortunately fallen by the wayside. This was the traditional wake up call on Miners day. Until recently at 6am on Miners day the town would light dynamite and explode for about 20 minutes to wake the town up. There was never any chance of sleeping through this as windows and walls shook from the concussion causing family pets to dive for cover and new residents to wonder what was going on.
In Real Estate news the real estate market continues to improve with each week seeming to be stronger than the last in the number of contracts written. This past Monday several Prudential agents were discussing the possibility that we may have passed the bottom of the market. Interestingly in talking with a good friend of mine who is an investment advisor with Smith Barney about downturns in the market, I made the comment that by the time the buying public realizes that we have reached the bottom of the stock market, it is already too late and the bottom has already passed. His reply surprised me when he said that studies have shown that investors who purchased 6 months after the bottom historically have made the largest profit. Can we apply the same analogy to real estate? Most probably so and if both are true that we are past the bottom of the market and are on the upswing and that investors purchasing in the next 6 months are most likely to realize the largest gains, this should be an interesting fall and winter season.
I recently found an article online about pending home sales rising for six months in a row. Click here to read this very interesting article or copy and paste this link into your browser: http://rismedia.com/2009-09-01/pending-home-sales-on-a-roll-up-for-sixth-straight-month/
Thursday, August 20, 2009
First Snow
For the first time in my 25 years here in Park City it snowed in August. Last Saturday August 15th an unusually strong cold front brought the snow level down to mid mountain or about 8000 feet. While here in town at 7000 feet it was just a cold rain up at 10,000 feet an inch of snow accumulated. THIS IS WAY TO EARLY, particularly after a cold and rainy June. Six weeks of summer just is not enough. This was the second strong cold front to come through northern Utah in August with another forecast of cold weather to arrive this weekend. Hopefully this is a sign of a cold and snowy winter.
Ski resort towns are a different animal in that we actually look forward to snow storms during the winter months and the larger the storm the better. As Park City receives over 300 inches of snow per year we are very equip to handle snow and it generally takes a storm of upwards of 2 feet overnight to close schools or snarl traffic. It is not uncommon for storms to last a week or more.
But on to cheerier subjects….Real Estate. Comparing July 2009 vs. July 2008, this year 53 homes sold compared to 50 homes in 2008. Condominium sales saw an even larger change with 43 sales in 2009 compared to 33 in 2008. In addition, the average sales price rose from $645,000 in 2008 to nearly $738,000 in 2009. Interestingly, vacant land sales which have been on a decline for the last several years saw an increase from 18 sales in 2008 to 19 sales in 2009. See the graph posted above for sales trends for the last 14 months courtesy of the Park City Board of Realtors.
As fall approaches and buyers start looking for their ski property for this winter the upward trend that we have seen since late winter is very encouraging. I am hearing from many buyers that they feel now is the opportunity to pick up ski property while there are still bargains to be had. While the U.S. economy is certainly not out of the woods yet, it does appear that we are on a road to recovery. If the upward trend that we are seeing continues through the fall we may, by mid winter, be looking back to this time as the end of the bargains.
While it is certainly too early for autumn colors already, with the unusually cold weather I am expecting an early fall. September is one of the most beautiful months in Park City and if the leafs do start to change next month it will be a time not to miss.
Monday, August 17, 2009
New Developments
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In spite of the struggling but improving economy new developments at the ski resorts here in Park City continue to move forward. This past week Dakota Mountain Lodge at The Canyons opened for business. Dakota Mountain Lodge features a Golden Door Spa and is operated under the Waldorf Astoria flag. As one would expect with these marquis names, the rooms are spectacular. The spa is both beautiful and comfortable and the dining rooms/lounges boast beautiful views of The Canyons Resort. During the construction period of this property almost all of the units sold and are now closing. Since the grand opening last week the occupancy rate has been extremely high.
At Deer Valley Resort the St Regis hotel is nearing completion and is about 2/3 sold out. St Regis is built directly on a ski run in the Deer Crest area of Deer Valley and boasts stunning views of the Jordanelle Reservoir, Deer Valley Resort, and downtown Main Street in Park City. The St Regis is expected to open for business this December and early walk-through’s indicate that this hotel will easily live up to the St Regis standard. St Regis has raised the bar for prices with units selling for around $2000 per square foot.
In the Empire Pass area of Deer Valley there are two new projects under construction. Right in the heart of the village at Empire Pass is a project known as Flagstaff located directly on a ski run and across from the members Tower Club Lounge. The Flagstaff building should be completed and ready for occupancy sometime this ski season. Flagstaff is part of the Talisker Club offering both golf course amenities at Tuhaye and private restaurants on Deer Valley for the owner/members. Flagstaff had the unfortunate timing of coming on the market right as the resort market started slowing down followed by the economic meltdown last September. In spite of this, 7 out of the 24 units have sold and I expect that with the building completion scheduled this winter we will see more activity.
Also under construction and scheduled for completion for the 2010/11 ski season is the Montage condo hotel located at the base of the empire lift in Deer Valley. Montage is a boutique hotel/spa and is only the 3rd hotel built in this new emerging chain. Montage will feature about 30,000 square feet of spa and restaurant area with magnificent views of the empire pass ski runs. The condominium units at Montage have yet to be offered for sale and we eagerly await details on pricing, floor plans and finishes. Montage should easily rival the St Regis for quality and will have a superior location. Stay tuned for further updates on Montage.
It seems that this may be an early fall or a very short summer. This past weekend an unseasonably strong cold front came through Utah dropping daytime high temperatures into the mid 50’s. While it has warmed up very nicely this week, another cold front is expected to arrive tonight once again dropping temperatures into the 50’s or low 60’s tomorrow. After having lost summer weather in June which was the rainiest June on record, to now start loosing summer weather in August just does not seem right. Summers in the mountains are short enough to begin with! While summer may be quickly coming to an end we still have a couple of large events remaining. Next Thursday is the start of the Park City Jazz Festival under the stars at Deer Valley, and then we close out summer with Park City’s Miners Day celebrations (Labor Day for the rest of the country) in early September. The cooler but still warm days of September are a magical time of the year and would be a terrific time to visit us.
Thursday, August 6, 2009
Art Fest & More
This past weekend was the 40th annual Art Festival in Park City which draws artists from every corner of the country. Main Street is closed to traffic as artists set up their tents and display their wares up and down the street. This event typically draws around 100,000 people over the weekend and with the hot weather in Salt Lake we probably had more this year. The best time for the fair is Friday evening which is referred to as “local’s night” where entry is free and most of the merchants have already set up shop.
This is a great time to visit the merchants in an un-crowded and much more relaxed atmosphere as well as to visit with friends that you might not have seen for a while. It seemed that the entire town turned out this year for the Friday night local’s party. In conjunction with this several of the nicer restaurants in town were offering dinner specials. A group of us visited Whaso where they were offering $5 appetizers and $10 entrée’s. Somehow we still managed to spend $70 per person, perhaps cocktails and wine had something to do with it? All in all a great event and the quality of the fair continues to increase each year. When speaking with the artists late Saturday night they were quite pleased with the sales they were making, particularly in light of the economy.
The Park City Arts Festival is one of the more desirable art festivals during the summer months for the artists with many more applications submitted than can be accommodated. This allows the festival organizers the luxury of being able to choose the best in each category and to not have too many duplicates.
In real estate news the “Golf Course Wars” are on. Two of our newer courses, Tuhaye and Red Ledges, are offering amazing incentives to attract buyers. Tuhaye is offering golf course frontage lots for sale starting at $350,000, they will carry the financing for 3-5 years at an extremely favorable interest rate, will make the first years interest payments on the loan, and will pay two years of club dues. Also included in the purchase price is the club membership currently valued at $100,000.
Red Ledges, the newest of the golf course communities, is including the club membership of approximately $100,000 in the purchase of a lot are also including a $95,000 Mercedes.
These incentives are being offered right up front by the developer, before we start negotiating and asking for other concessions.
As the U.S. and World stock markets continue to perform well we have to ask, “How long will this last?” With consumer confidence increasing and a large supply of properties to choose from, this summer is the time to be a buyer. Prices here in Park City have dropped back to about 2005 price levels so there appears to be a strong probability of an upside for real estate purchase this year. While I have said this many times before in these blogs, I cannot emphasize enough that we are approaching the time when many buyers will kick themselves and say “Why didn’t I buy in 2009?”
In the Western Mountain Resorts unlike most of the country August is a time when the weather starts cooling. Our hottest month of July is behind us and both daytime and nighttime temperatures become noticeably cooler. If where you are is still smoldering in the summer heat plan a vacation to the Rocky Mountains and experience warm days and cool nights with Park City only a 30 minute drive from Salt Lake international airport we are the easiest resort to reach.
This is a great time to visit the merchants in an un-crowded and much more relaxed atmosphere as well as to visit with friends that you might not have seen for a while. It seemed that the entire town turned out this year for the Friday night local’s party. In conjunction with this several of the nicer restaurants in town were offering dinner specials. A group of us visited Whaso where they were offering $5 appetizers and $10 entrée’s. Somehow we still managed to spend $70 per person, perhaps cocktails and wine had something to do with it? All in all a great event and the quality of the fair continues to increase each year. When speaking with the artists late Saturday night they were quite pleased with the sales they were making, particularly in light of the economy.
The Park City Arts Festival is one of the more desirable art festivals during the summer months for the artists with many more applications submitted than can be accommodated. This allows the festival organizers the luxury of being able to choose the best in each category and to not have too many duplicates.
In real estate news the “Golf Course Wars” are on. Two of our newer courses, Tuhaye and Red Ledges, are offering amazing incentives to attract buyers. Tuhaye is offering golf course frontage lots for sale starting at $350,000, they will carry the financing for 3-5 years at an extremely favorable interest rate, will make the first years interest payments on the loan, and will pay two years of club dues. Also included in the purchase price is the club membership currently valued at $100,000.
Red Ledges, the newest of the golf course communities, is including the club membership of approximately $100,000 in the purchase of a lot are also including a $95,000 Mercedes.
These incentives are being offered right up front by the developer, before we start negotiating and asking for other concessions.
As the U.S. and World stock markets continue to perform well we have to ask, “How long will this last?” With consumer confidence increasing and a large supply of properties to choose from, this summer is the time to be a buyer. Prices here in Park City have dropped back to about 2005 price levels so there appears to be a strong probability of an upside for real estate purchase this year. While I have said this many times before in these blogs, I cannot emphasize enough that we are approaching the time when many buyers will kick themselves and say “Why didn’t I buy in 2009?”
In the Western Mountain Resorts unlike most of the country August is a time when the weather starts cooling. Our hottest month of July is behind us and both daytime and nighttime temperatures become noticeably cooler. If where you are is still smoldering in the summer heat plan a vacation to the Rocky Mountains and experience warm days and cool nights with Park City only a 30 minute drive from Salt Lake international airport we are the easiest resort to reach.
Thursday, July 23, 2009
The Future of Real Estate
During these uncertain times everyone wants to know what is going to happen with the real estate market and their investments in particular. My crystal ball has been very cloudy lately but I can confidently say that the resort real estate market will rebound and it will most likely be before the metropolitan markets. Now just what is it that I see that causes me to make such a statement? I am seeing several very positive signs that indicate a recovery in the real estate market, if not already occurring, it is not far off.
First is the stock market. The stock market tends to be an indicator of what will be expected six months from now rather than a single snapshot of the economy at the moment, so while the unemployment numbers are very high the market feels like the turnaround may be near.
Second, the number of new real estate contracts written in Park City has steadily increased each month beginning last March. It is true that the majority of these buyers are bargain hunters but the fact that they feel that we are close enough to the bottom or to get off the fence, is very encouraging. What is interesting to me is that the increase in activity covers all ranges of the market. Again, an indicator that confidence in our market has returned.
Third, for the past year I have shown property to many buyers who stated that “We are in no hurry and want to wait for the bottom of the market”. This waiting creates a lot of pent up demand. It is often said in a market that is moving downward that no one wants to be first but no one wants to be third either. So when the real estate market does start to rebound, as we are seeing, the pent up demand often causes a flurry of activity. Barring any new economic or political disasters, this initial flurry of activity can be the catalyst to a sustained increase in market activity.
While we are still in the middle of summer, oddly enough, buyers are thinking of the upcoming ski season and are thinking that now is the time to start looking for ski investments. As we get closer to the ski season there are more buyers looking and as a result of this sellers are feeling less pressure to accept drastic price cuts. Savvy buyers understand that the best deals are to be found from mid spring through mid summer.
Resort real estate is always speculative and subject to the whim of the economy but Park City is in a unique situation with its proximity to Salt Lake City. No other major ski resort destination in the west has the convenience of an international airport that is an easy 30 minute drive away. Another unique aspect of Park City is that unlike any other western resort Park City is not surrounded by national forest but rather land that was prospected for silver and privately owned. While other resorts have a scarcity of developable land witch puts upward pressure on prices we seem to have an over abundance of land, which helps suppress prices. The ski resorts certainly have their share of expensive properties but we are blessed with an inordinate amount of very affordable homes and condos (for ski resorts). This allows me to help buyers find a property that fits just about any budget and need.
So what does all of this mean? While nothing can ever be said for certain, my confidence is very high that Park City will come out of this downturn sooner than most and today’s buyers will be very pleased with their purchases.
First is the stock market. The stock market tends to be an indicator of what will be expected six months from now rather than a single snapshot of the economy at the moment, so while the unemployment numbers are very high the market feels like the turnaround may be near.
Second, the number of new real estate contracts written in Park City has steadily increased each month beginning last March. It is true that the majority of these buyers are bargain hunters but the fact that they feel that we are close enough to the bottom or to get off the fence, is very encouraging. What is interesting to me is that the increase in activity covers all ranges of the market. Again, an indicator that confidence in our market has returned.
Third, for the past year I have shown property to many buyers who stated that “We are in no hurry and want to wait for the bottom of the market”. This waiting creates a lot of pent up demand. It is often said in a market that is moving downward that no one wants to be first but no one wants to be third either. So when the real estate market does start to rebound, as we are seeing, the pent up demand often causes a flurry of activity. Barring any new economic or political disasters, this initial flurry of activity can be the catalyst to a sustained increase in market activity.
While we are still in the middle of summer, oddly enough, buyers are thinking of the upcoming ski season and are thinking that now is the time to start looking for ski investments. As we get closer to the ski season there are more buyers looking and as a result of this sellers are feeling less pressure to accept drastic price cuts. Savvy buyers understand that the best deals are to be found from mid spring through mid summer.
Resort real estate is always speculative and subject to the whim of the economy but Park City is in a unique situation with its proximity to Salt Lake City. No other major ski resort destination in the west has the convenience of an international airport that is an easy 30 minute drive away. Another unique aspect of Park City is that unlike any other western resort Park City is not surrounded by national forest but rather land that was prospected for silver and privately owned. While other resorts have a scarcity of developable land witch puts upward pressure on prices we seem to have an over abundance of land, which helps suppress prices. The ski resorts certainly have their share of expensive properties but we are blessed with an inordinate amount of very affordable homes and condos (for ski resorts). This allows me to help buyers find a property that fits just about any budget and need.
So what does all of this mean? While nothing can ever be said for certain, my confidence is very high that Park City will come out of this downturn sooner than most and today’s buyers will be very pleased with their purchases.
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Western Mountain Resorts
This past week I hosted a conference for real estate agents of the western ski resort communities in Jackson Hole Wyoming. We had representatives from Sun Valley, Idaho, McCall, Idaho, Park City, Utah, Vail, Colorado, Breckenridge, Colorado, Steamboat Springs, Colorado, Winter Park, Colorado, Jackson Hole, Wyoming and Lake Tahoe, California. As president of the Western Mountain Resort Alliance my job among others was to moderate a panel discussion of all the resorts. Questions were asked of each representative about their current real estate markets, sales activity, prices, activity on new developments, and sales activity in their golf course communities.
While there were some striking differences between the resorts, the overall market activity was very similar. All of the resorts reported that sales numbers and dollar volume was down around 45-50% comparing this past ski season to the previous ski season. The big differences were apparent in average price and price per square foot in homes and condos sold. Vail grabbed everyone’s attention with new slope side condominium development’s selling for up to $2900 per square foot while Winter Park, CO said their new slope side development’s are selling for around $500 per square foot. Park City falls somewhere in the middle with new slope side development’s selling around a $1000 per square foot. However, Park City does show a penthouse condo in the Empire Pass area of Deer Valley under contract/pending at $1900 per square foot.
McCall, ID, home of Tamarack ski resort, reported that their prices have dropped low enough that nearly every property sold is receiving multiple offers. Several of the other resorts, particularly Breckenridge, are also experiencing a return of multiple offers being written for exceptional properties. Pretty much every resort is experiencing signs that the real estate market is turning for the better.
Near unanimous were the resorts reporting that home sales under $1.5 million and condo sales under $700,000 were the strongest parts of their market. Also unanimous was that vacant land sales were the weakest. The lack of land sales can be attributed to a lack of vacant land near the resorts and the unwillingness of lenders to make loans for undeveloped land.
We discussed at length how golf course communities were doing at each resort. Nearly unanimous was that vacant land and home sales in private golf course communities was extremely slow. Everyone felt that in the late 1990’s and early 2000’s too many golf course communities were developed and that there was just not enough demand for all the supply that came on the market. It appears to us that the resorts, in an effort to become a Four Seasons resort rather than just a winter resort, developed too many golf course communities. For instance, in the Vail area which encompasses an area from the Vail valley and continues west along I70 for about 70 miles there are now 13 golf courses and many of those are real estate communities also. That number got everyone’s attention until Park City announced that we now have 14 golf course communities in and around the immediate area. Jackson Hole only has 5 golf course communities. North Lake Tahoe has 4 golf course communities, all put in many years ago and now North Lake Tahoe is enforcing a moratorium on any new golf course communities. As a result the North Lake Tahoe communities have sold out of all developer product and re-sales are fairly strong. Perhaps the rest of the Western Resorts should pay attention to this lesson.
In final comments almost all of the representatives were optimistic that the increased activity we have seen in the last couple months will continue through the summer months and in to next year.
While there were some striking differences between the resorts, the overall market activity was very similar. All of the resorts reported that sales numbers and dollar volume was down around 45-50% comparing this past ski season to the previous ski season. The big differences were apparent in average price and price per square foot in homes and condos sold. Vail grabbed everyone’s attention with new slope side condominium development’s selling for up to $2900 per square foot while Winter Park, CO said their new slope side development’s are selling for around $500 per square foot. Park City falls somewhere in the middle with new slope side development’s selling around a $1000 per square foot. However, Park City does show a penthouse condo in the Empire Pass area of Deer Valley under contract/pending at $1900 per square foot.
McCall, ID, home of Tamarack ski resort, reported that their prices have dropped low enough that nearly every property sold is receiving multiple offers. Several of the other resorts, particularly Breckenridge, are also experiencing a return of multiple offers being written for exceptional properties. Pretty much every resort is experiencing signs that the real estate market is turning for the better.
Near unanimous were the resorts reporting that home sales under $1.5 million and condo sales under $700,000 were the strongest parts of their market. Also unanimous was that vacant land sales were the weakest. The lack of land sales can be attributed to a lack of vacant land near the resorts and the unwillingness of lenders to make loans for undeveloped land.
We discussed at length how golf course communities were doing at each resort. Nearly unanimous was that vacant land and home sales in private golf course communities was extremely slow. Everyone felt that in the late 1990’s and early 2000’s too many golf course communities were developed and that there was just not enough demand for all the supply that came on the market. It appears to us that the resorts, in an effort to become a Four Seasons resort rather than just a winter resort, developed too many golf course communities. For instance, in the Vail area which encompasses an area from the Vail valley and continues west along I70 for about 70 miles there are now 13 golf courses and many of those are real estate communities also. That number got everyone’s attention until Park City announced that we now have 14 golf course communities in and around the immediate area. Jackson Hole only has 5 golf course communities. North Lake Tahoe has 4 golf course communities, all put in many years ago and now North Lake Tahoe is enforcing a moratorium on any new golf course communities. As a result the North Lake Tahoe communities have sold out of all developer product and re-sales are fairly strong. Perhaps the rest of the Western Resorts should pay attention to this lesson.
In final comments almost all of the representatives were optimistic that the increased activity we have seen in the last couple months will continue through the summer months and in to next year.
Thursday, June 18, 2009
Has Summer Arrived?
After 4 weeks of rain every single day, the sun came out this afternoon. Could this really be the start of summer? While the calendar tells us summer starts this weekend you never really know living in the mountains. But based on the calendar Park City begins the summer season this Friday. We will be kicking off the summer with a dinner and Jazz Festival on Main Street Friday night. This is knows as “Savor the Summit” where we close Main Street to traffic and put tables end to end from the top of Main to the bottom of Main. Our local restaurants all participate with a special menu to serve. And several Jazz bands will be performing along Main Street while people dine. This is a great event and really gets everyone going!
Next week on Wednesday the free concerts begin at Deer Valley Resort. These occur every Wednesday through August and have become the social event of the week. Everyone gets lawn seating, brings their favorite beverage, dinner and music is def secondary to the party.
In real estate happenings May was a very strong month for sales (considering the economy) with the number of contracts written surpassing July, 2008. This was really good news and hopefully a start to a solid recovery of our real estate market. June typically begins the home selling season as most people prefer to wait until school is out to move their families. Right now buyers have an excellent selection of homes to choose from in all price ranges and when combined with the historically low interest rates, I am optimistic that the home buying season will be good. Historically resort condo sales do not pick up again until about August, when the approaching ski season rekindles interest. We should start to see interest in golf course property now that summer has arrived and with the competition among all of the golf course communities there are some opportunities that we may not see again for a long time (more on the golf courses next week).
Next week on Wednesday the free concerts begin at Deer Valley Resort. These occur every Wednesday through August and have become the social event of the week. Everyone gets lawn seating, brings their favorite beverage, dinner and music is def secondary to the party.
In real estate happenings May was a very strong month for sales (considering the economy) with the number of contracts written surpassing July, 2008. This was really good news and hopefully a start to a solid recovery of our real estate market. June typically begins the home selling season as most people prefer to wait until school is out to move their families. Right now buyers have an excellent selection of homes to choose from in all price ranges and when combined with the historically low interest rates, I am optimistic that the home buying season will be good. Historically resort condo sales do not pick up again until about August, when the approaching ski season rekindles interest. We should start to see interest in golf course property now that summer has arrived and with the competition among all of the golf course communities there are some opportunities that we may not see again for a long time (more on the golf courses next week).
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Memorial Weekend
While the Memorial Day weekend is the traditional start of summer throughout the country, Park City and other Rocky Mountain Ski Resorts have some time yet before summer really begins. Summer really begins in the mountains around the middle of June at which time we rarely see anymore snow, until fall. As is very typical more Park City residents left town over the weekend for warmer locations than visitors arrived.
Much of the Memorial weekend was cool and rainy (no snow!) but Memorial Day turned out to be quite pleasant. This week temperatures are near 70 degrees with only a few puffy clouds around, a great time to get outdoors and enjoy the mountains. While temperatures in the upper 60’s to low 70’s does not sound particularly warm at an elevation of 7000 feet and thin air the intensity of the sun is much more than at sea level. In June and July, when temperatures are consistently in the 80’s and even approaching 90, the intensity of the sun makes it surprisingly hot. Fortunately, even during these “hot” months the nighttime temperatures drop into the 50’s to make sleeping very pleasant. No air conditioners needed.
Summer concerts and other outdoor events will start about the middle of June and that is our official start of summer. By the middle of June all of our local restaurants have reopened and the town is bustling with visitors and activities. This is the perfect time to visit the mountains.
On the economic side while our country is certainly not out of the woods yet, each day I hear some positive news. This was not the case 2 months ago when everything from the news emphasized how bad the economy was and little hope for a quick recovery. Whether or not you agree with the approach that President Obama has taken, his aggressive action appears to be turning the tide, at least in the short term. This appears to have translated to buyer confidence which has translated to an increase in purchase contracts being written. This morning’s news was that home sales across the country increased in April 2009. This is the first time that home sales have shown an increase for quite a long time. Many real estate analysts are coming out and saying that while there will still be area’s that are slow to recover, the U.S. Real Estate market may have bottomed out. Time will tell but it sure feels like that here in Park City.
Much of the Memorial weekend was cool and rainy (no snow!) but Memorial Day turned out to be quite pleasant. This week temperatures are near 70 degrees with only a few puffy clouds around, a great time to get outdoors and enjoy the mountains. While temperatures in the upper 60’s to low 70’s does not sound particularly warm at an elevation of 7000 feet and thin air the intensity of the sun is much more than at sea level. In June and July, when temperatures are consistently in the 80’s and even approaching 90, the intensity of the sun makes it surprisingly hot. Fortunately, even during these “hot” months the nighttime temperatures drop into the 50’s to make sleeping very pleasant. No air conditioners needed.
Summer concerts and other outdoor events will start about the middle of June and that is our official start of summer. By the middle of June all of our local restaurants have reopened and the town is bustling with visitors and activities. This is the perfect time to visit the mountains.
On the economic side while our country is certainly not out of the woods yet, each day I hear some positive news. This was not the case 2 months ago when everything from the news emphasized how bad the economy was and little hope for a quick recovery. Whether or not you agree with the approach that President Obama has taken, his aggressive action appears to be turning the tide, at least in the short term. This appears to have translated to buyer confidence which has translated to an increase in purchase contracts being written. This morning’s news was that home sales across the country increased in April 2009. This is the first time that home sales have shown an increase for quite a long time. Many real estate analysts are coming out and saying that while there will still be area’s that are slow to recover, the U.S. Real Estate market may have bottomed out. Time will tell but it sure feels like that here in Park City.
Friday, May 15, 2009
Spring, Finally!
Even though we still get some cold nights and occasional snow storms spring has arrived. The days are noticeably warmer and everyone is out and about. Driving around town I am seeing mountain bikers, road bikers, tennis courts are full and golf courses are busy. Afternoon BBQ’s are back in and people are out just generally enjoying the sunshine.
The economic news these days while still quite mixed seems to be more positive than negative. Every day we are hearing more stories and outlooks that reflect a positive attitude and a hint of recovery from the recession. I recently ran some numbers comparing January-April for the past 3 years and after steadily declining numbers this March actually showed an upturn for the first time. Click here to view graph http://www.flickr.com/photos/dhanlon532/3533334599/.
This is encouraging as it is the first time since 2006 that we have seen any increase. These numbers confirm what many brokers here in town have been feeling. The general consensus is that the signs are showing that we may be nearing the bottom of the market. Historically low interest rates combined with low home prices and an abundance of properties to choose from is giving the savvy buyer opportunities that rarely occur in the resort real estate market. In speaking with agents from the other western resorts of Colorado, Wyoming and Idaho they echo the same feelings.
With the summer calendar full of activities, great concerts and festivals, plan now to spend some time in the mountains. Come visit and experience the clean mountain air, cool nights and gorgeous scenery!
The economic news these days while still quite mixed seems to be more positive than negative. Every day we are hearing more stories and outlooks that reflect a positive attitude and a hint of recovery from the recession. I recently ran some numbers comparing January-April for the past 3 years and after steadily declining numbers this March actually showed an upturn for the first time. Click here to view graph http://www.flickr.com/photos/dhanlon532/3533334599/.
This is encouraging as it is the first time since 2006 that we have seen any increase. These numbers confirm what many brokers here in town have been feeling. The general consensus is that the signs are showing that we may be nearing the bottom of the market. Historically low interest rates combined with low home prices and an abundance of properties to choose from is giving the savvy buyer opportunities that rarely occur in the resort real estate market. In speaking with agents from the other western resorts of Colorado, Wyoming and Idaho they echo the same feelings.
With the summer calendar full of activities, great concerts and festivals, plan now to spend some time in the mountains. Come visit and experience the clean mountain air, cool nights and gorgeous scenery!
Friday, May 8, 2009
QTR
Last week I attended a presentation where the topic was “Quality Time Remaining”. The thought behind this is that all too often we put off doing something or purchasing something that we really want and suddenly it becomes too late to enjoy it. This is particularly true in real estate and even more so in resort real estate. As our families grow and our children go on with their own lives, we often think about that vacation property where our families can gather and enjoy each other’s company again. However, it is so easy to say, “Now is just not the right time” or perhaps, “prices will be lower next year” or “the perfect property will come along in the next few years”. While we wait for that perfect opportunity or perfect property to come along we have lost the time with our family and loved ones that can never be recaptured. We all know that we only have so much time to really enjoy our lives and what value can we place on this?
Many of my clients have come to realize just how important this is as they spend more and more time enjoying their vacation home in park city with family and friends. Frequently my clients tell me that while they had only intended to use their vacation property occasionally during the ski season they end up spending quite a lot of time during the summer months as well. When deciding if now is the right time for you to purchase your vacation home or even go on a vacation, remember QTR and take advantage of it.
Many of my clients have come to realize just how important this is as they spend more and more time enjoying their vacation home in park city with family and friends. Frequently my clients tell me that while they had only intended to use their vacation property occasionally during the ski season they end up spending quite a lot of time during the summer months as well. When deciding if now is the right time for you to purchase your vacation home or even go on a vacation, remember QTR and take advantage of it.
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
Is Now The Time To Buy???
As a long time REALTOR® in a destination resort, wherever I go around town residents and visitors always want to know what’s going on with the local real estate market. Residents are always interested to know if their property values are going up or down while visitors wonder if this is the right time to purchase. For this discussion let’s concentrate on the 2nd Home/Vacation Home buyer.
In a recent NAR survey of 2nd home buyers they reported that the number of 2nd homes/vacation homes purchased in the United States was down 30% for 2008. While this seems shocking at first it is not surprising. 2008, particularly the latter half, was a very stressful time for most Americans and a 2nd home/vacation home purchase was not a necessity. These purchases were put on the back burner. While not having seen any hard numbers for the first quarter of 2009, my observations are that the first quarter of 2009 numbers will be very similar to the numbers for the last quarter of 2008. During the first quarter of 2009 buyers were inquiring about vacation properties but were understandably nervous and not ready to pull the trigger. We have just begun the 2nd quarter and it appears that buyers are now feeling a little bit more confident and are once again purchasing. My guess is that a combination of the following factors has come in to play: Along with a drop in the number of home sales came a drop in home prices, interest rates are at an all time low and the stock market seems to be calming down.
While the stock market has certainly not settled on a particular direction the wild roller coaster fluctuations of last fall seem to have evened out. Lower prices combined with low interest rates seem to be attracting buyers who are fearful of loosing out on a terrific opportunity to invest in a resort vacation home. Many buyers remember 2003, which was the low point for the market after the 911 terrorist attacks and the Gulf Wars. Many buyers sat on the sidelines in 2003 not sure if it was the right time to purchase and then watched the markets escalate through 2006. Is this a repeat of 2003-2006? While no one can say for certain, I do feel confident in saying that this window of opportunity will end and there will be buyers looking from the wrong side of the window.
The past few weeks here in Park City I have seen a pronounced increase in interest and contracts written. What is very telling is that well priced properties are receiving multiple offers. This is telling in that buyers are out there and ready to purchase but only for homes they perceive to be an exceptional deal. This is not the time for sellers to test the market. If sellers are serious about selling, their property must be perceived as a “deal” not just competitively priced.
So, is this the right time to buy a resort vacation home? That is certainly an individual decision but the stars may be lining up to make now an opportunity that we may be wistfully looking back to.
In a recent NAR survey of 2nd home buyers they reported that the number of 2nd homes/vacation homes purchased in the United States was down 30% for 2008. While this seems shocking at first it is not surprising. 2008, particularly the latter half, was a very stressful time for most Americans and a 2nd home/vacation home purchase was not a necessity. These purchases were put on the back burner. While not having seen any hard numbers for the first quarter of 2009, my observations are that the first quarter of 2009 numbers will be very similar to the numbers for the last quarter of 2008. During the first quarter of 2009 buyers were inquiring about vacation properties but were understandably nervous and not ready to pull the trigger. We have just begun the 2nd quarter and it appears that buyers are now feeling a little bit more confident and are once again purchasing. My guess is that a combination of the following factors has come in to play: Along with a drop in the number of home sales came a drop in home prices, interest rates are at an all time low and the stock market seems to be calming down.
While the stock market has certainly not settled on a particular direction the wild roller coaster fluctuations of last fall seem to have evened out. Lower prices combined with low interest rates seem to be attracting buyers who are fearful of loosing out on a terrific opportunity to invest in a resort vacation home. Many buyers remember 2003, which was the low point for the market after the 911 terrorist attacks and the Gulf Wars. Many buyers sat on the sidelines in 2003 not sure if it was the right time to purchase and then watched the markets escalate through 2006. Is this a repeat of 2003-2006? While no one can say for certain, I do feel confident in saying that this window of opportunity will end and there will be buyers looking from the wrong side of the window.
The past few weeks here in Park City I have seen a pronounced increase in interest and contracts written. What is very telling is that well priced properties are receiving multiple offers. This is telling in that buyers are out there and ready to purchase but only for homes they perceive to be an exceptional deal. This is not the time for sellers to test the market. If sellers are serious about selling, their property must be perceived as a “deal” not just competitively priced.
So, is this the right time to buy a resort vacation home? That is certainly an individual decision but the stars may be lining up to make now an opportunity that we may be wistfully looking back to.
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Springtime
Spring has often been described as a battle between winter and summer. No where is this more true than here in the mountains. Last Saturday was a picture perfect day with record high temperatures in the 60’s and yesterday we received 28 inches of new snow at Alta. Spring is the time of the year where one day you are skiing in a turtleneck and windbreaker and the next day hat, goggles and full winter gear. This is what makes spring skiing so fun.
For the past year I have been saying that we may be looking back to this time as the opportunity to have purchased resort real estate at bargain prices. With the stock market slowly heading upward for the past two weeks and news reports that new housing starts were up in Feb and sales of existing homes were very strong, this prophecy may be becoming true. While it certainly continues to be a buyers market here in Park City as well as the other western ski resorts, I have definitely seen an increase in activity. Here in Park City I have seen the number of contracts written and accepted slowly increase. I have also been receiving calls much more frequently to show my listings and for information regarding them. While we certainly have not turned the corner to becoming a sellers market, we very well may be nearing the bottom of this buyers market. One of the signs that we may be nearing the bottom is that I am seeing a large increase in purchases by investors. These investors have been sitting on the side lines waiting for the right moment and their move tells me that this is the right time to purchase. Time will tell. But with the extremely low interest rates, a good selection of properties on the market, and sellers willing to negotiate, we could be looking back to this spring and saying “Why didn’t I purchase then?”
All three of the park city ski resorts, Deer Valley, Park City Mountain Resort and The Canyons are scheduled to close on April 12th. With just 2 and ½ weeks left to our ski season come out visit us and take advantage of these days.
For the past year I have been saying that we may be looking back to this time as the opportunity to have purchased resort real estate at bargain prices. With the stock market slowly heading upward for the past two weeks and news reports that new housing starts were up in Feb and sales of existing homes were very strong, this prophecy may be becoming true. While it certainly continues to be a buyers market here in Park City as well as the other western ski resorts, I have definitely seen an increase in activity. Here in Park City I have seen the number of contracts written and accepted slowly increase. I have also been receiving calls much more frequently to show my listings and for information regarding them. While we certainly have not turned the corner to becoming a sellers market, we very well may be nearing the bottom of this buyers market. One of the signs that we may be nearing the bottom is that I am seeing a large increase in purchases by investors. These investors have been sitting on the side lines waiting for the right moment and their move tells me that this is the right time to purchase. Time will tell. But with the extremely low interest rates, a good selection of properties on the market, and sellers willing to negotiate, we could be looking back to this spring and saying “Why didn’t I purchase then?”
All three of the park city ski resorts, Deer Valley, Park City Mountain Resort and The Canyons are scheduled to close on April 12th. With just 2 and ½ weeks left to our ski season come out visit us and take advantage of these days.
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