Split Jet Stream, Skiers' Woe

It is not uncommon in fall/early winter for a split jet stream to set up over the interior west. What occurs is that a strong and dominant high-pressure system takes hold of the western US. Low-pressure systems originating in the Gulf of Alaska typically move southward along the coast of British Columbia and swing inland anywhere between Northern California and Washington, sweeping over Utah and providing our famously fluffy powder snow. However when a high-pressure system sets up over the west as it is currently, as these low-pressure systems start to move inland they encounter the high-pressure and split apart. With one part going north over the top of the high-pressure and another section swinging south under the high-pressure leaving Utah warm and dry. This is the pattern that we are currently in. But the high pressure is just far enough to the west that the northern branch of the jet stream does clip Utah bringing us occasional light snowfall. This is what is going to happen this Wednesday and Thursday with probably not more than 3-4 inches of snow for the northern Utah resorts while the central and southern Utah mountains could see several feet.HMMM, Could we possibly switch this pattern for May, when it snows continuously and we want sunshine?

On a brighter note, Deer Valley opens this Saturday and conditions should be pretty decent for opening day. I haven't heard what is going to be open yet but I would expect runs down Bald Mountain, Flagstaff and Northside should be open. The Stein Eriksen Lodge, located on the mountain in Silver Lake, Deer Valley, has received the Forbes 5-Star rating for its spa. This is the only 5-star rating for a spa in the state of Utah and only one of 4 throughout the country. This is quite a feather in the cap for Stein's, as it completely redid its spa two years ago and has made great efforts to bring up the level of service.

Last week I spoke of The Montage Hotel here in Deer Valley. This week I'd like to talk about one of Deer Valley's other great hotels, The St. Regis. The St. Regis Hotel, located in the Deer Crest area of Deer Valley overlooking both the town of Park City and the Jordanelle Reservoir is truly one of the luxury hotels here in town. The St. Regis first started selling units in 2005, prior to completion of the hotel, The hotel was substantially completed in December of 2009 and at that time was about 60% sold. Even during the downturn of the economy the majority of owners who purchased during the pre-construction phase ended up closing on their units, and this year there have been four new sales in the St. Regis. There are only ten units available for sale, a one-bedroom listed for $1,370,000, two-bedrooms listed around $1,500,000, and three-bedrooms listed anywhere from $2,000,000 to $3,000,000 depending on location and views. The hotel has the space, feel, and services that you'd expect from the St. Regis and certainly lives up to its brand. The St. Regis features a wonderful heated patio overlooking the ski slopes of Deer Valley, which is a favorite gathering spot for lunch or early afternoon cocktails in the spring and Sunday afternoons throughout the summer.

To get to the St. Regis, guest ride a funicular--a European-style cog train--from lower Deer Valley to the terminal in the St. Regis. Riding down the funicular in the evening with the lights of Deer Valley sparkling is something all visitors to Park City should experience.

Ski season is here and going strong. I have been arduously working off my Thanksgiving dinner, as I hope you have. So plan your trip to Park City, come see me in my office at Silver Lake in mid-mountain Deer Valley and let's go skiing. In the meantime, do your snowdance, drink a glass of wine to the Snow Gods, or whatever else you feel works to bring on the snow!

We Are Skiing

This past weekend four more Utah resorts opened for skiing. Brian Head in central Utah, Alta and Snowbird in Little Cottonwood Canyon, and Park City Mountain Resort have all opened with very good conditions for the middle of November. We received about 6" of snow Friday night and snow has continued off and on all weekend and into today, Monday. This week, Thanksgiving week, Canyons Resort opens followed by Deer Valley the following weekend, December 3rd. With the early snow that we have been receiving and the resorts opening with very good conditions, the lodging companies are all reporting higher than normal bookings for the year. While in the past, management companies have all said that visitors are booking closer and closer to their actual vacation time to see who has the best snow and rates. This year with early snow throughout all of the Rockies, visitors are once again booking ahead and booking early to assure that they get the accommodations that they want.

Last week I was at a luncheon where we heard speakers from all three Park City resorts talking about what's new and what improvements the resorts have made over the summer months and also from White Pine Touring which operates the cross-country ski tracks around town. White Pine Touring also works closely with Mountain Trails Foundation which is a non-profit here in town dedicated to the building and maintenance of mountain biking and hiking trails throughout the mountains. Apparently the International Mountain Biking Association has named Park City as the best mountain biking town in the country. This is such a tribute to the Mountain Trails Foundation and the hard work that they do building and maintaining the Park City trail system.

On another note two weeks ago Park City, through our local radio station held a community wide call-in fundraiser for all of Park City's nonprofit organizations. I am very proud to say that our small town of Park City, permanent population of 7,000, contributed over $300,000 that day to our nonprofits. These non-profits are such an integral part of our community in maintaining hiking trails, putting on music festivals and contributing to the arts in town and this money will help assure their continued success. Way to go, Park City, and one of the things that I so much love about this town.

Last week I was up at the Montage Hotel at Empire Pass in Deer Valley and toured some of their new residences. They are absolutely stunning and the location of the Montage Hotel is in the "A" location for skiers. The Montage Hotel is located at the base of the Empire lift of Deer Valley with premium ski access to Deer Valley's most challenging expert terrain or the easy groomers of Northside. It is no wonder that The Montage has been a resounding success for both guests wishing to stay at the best Deer Valley has to offer or buyers wanting to own a condo in the heart of skiing.

Ski season is here so get your skis tuned up and waxed, and when you are out this winter, let me take you on a tour of Deer Valley and show you my favorite places to ski. Remember my office is mid-mountain Deer Valley in the Silver Lake Plaza, right across from the ticket booth.

Third Quarter Resort Comparisons

A very interesting observation as winter approaches North America is in watching reactions to forecasts of snow. When watching the news stations or weather channel I have noticed that when snow is forecast for most cities in North America or the US, it comes with a warning for travel and usually with advice for residents to avoid traveling outside and to stay at home. It does not seem to matter whether the forecast is for an inch of snow or several. Ski resort towns, on the other hand, not only do not panic with the forecast of snow, but instead celebrate it. The ski resorts in the western US really don't even take notice or start to get excited unless the forecast is for at least a foot. Then the excitement is not for concerns of traveling around town (we all know how to drive in snow) but rather the prospect of excellent skiing the next day. Just another example of how ski country people are just a little different from the rest of the country.

This past weekend we had a fairly decent storm with 8-10 inches of snow on the Park City side and between 1 and 2 feet in the Alta/Snowbird area. Unfortunately the combination of new snow and early season enthusiasm is a recipe for disaster. Over the weekend and mostly on Sunday, there were around a dozen skier/boarder-triggered avalanches in the Wasatch Range. And most unfortunately, pro-skier,  Jamie Pierre was killed in an avalanche at Snowbird Resort. Prior to the opening of the resorts--Snowbird and Alta don't open until this Friday--the resorts aren't doing avalanche control work and early season enthusiasts forget that while skiing at these resorts, one must take the same precautions as backcountry skiing. This is a lesson that is all too often learned too late.

The third quarter statistics for all of the resorts of the Western Mountain Resort Alliance have just come out and are pretty interesting. The statistics are for most of the major resorts in the western US: Whistler in British Columbia; Park City, Utah; Steamboat, Vail, and Crested Butte in Colorado; Sun Valley, Idaho; Big Sky, Montana; Lake Tahoe, California; and Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Pretty interesting that what I've been reporting for Park City all year is quite similar to what's happening at the other resorts. All year I've been reporting that the number of listings has been down (and for Park City it's down 6% over last year) and likewise, the other resorts are down anywhere from 2% in Whistler to 16% in Big Sky. Only Lake Tahoe is up at 6% and Jackson Hole is even from last year. Over this past year I've been saying the number of units sold has been up in Park City (which it has by 18%) and every resort except for Crested Butte is also showing number of sales up over last year. Vail is basically even, up only 1%. Big Sky, Montana has had the biggest increase at 40% in number of sales of last year, and Crested Butte is the anomaly down 45% in number of sales last year. I have been following these statistics since 1996 and pretty consistently, Vail has always sold about twice as much as we have in Park City. However last year and again this year, total dollar volume sold in Park City has surpassed Vail. Through September, Park City has sold just over $853,000,000 for a 7% increase over 2010. Vail, on the other hand, has sold just under $725,000,000, which is a 24% decrease over 2010. In looking at all of the resorts, four are up this year and five are down. Whistler, Park City, Steamboat and Big Sky are all showing increases in dollar volume over 2010. While Sun Valley, Vail, Lake Tahoe, Jackson and Crested Butte are all showing a decrease. Jackson Hole continues to have the highest average sales price of all resorts with the average sales price for all property types for the entire county of $1,225,000. By contrast, Vail, which we always assume is very expensive, is showing an average for all property types of $898,000 and Park City at $676,000. Jackson Hole has always been expensive because of the scarcity of developable land. Only 3% of all the land in and around Jackson is available for development. This is one of the big contrasts that we have here in Park City where one of our main issues is actually that there is too much land that can be developed. Please feel free to contact me for detailed or more specific information for any of these resorts.

The snow is piling up, the resorts are opening, Park City, Alta, and Snowbird open this weekend, so it's definitely time to find where your ski gear hid itself over the summer and get the ski legs in shape.

Snow, snow, snow

Last Saturday, Park City held a Snow Dance Parade on Main Street where everybody was encouraged to dress up in appropriate snow gear, ring cowbells and parade to bring on winter. Well, it worked! It's been snowing ever since, and all three resorts are making snow. Big news this week is the announcement of opening days. Brighton Ski Resort in Big Cottonwood Canyon opens this Thursday followed by Solitude on Friday. Park City, Snowbird and Alta are opening the following week on the 18th or 19th, Canyons on the 25th, and Deer Valley as is consistent, opens the first Saturday in December which is the 3rd this year. Fall has definitely ended and winter is here now for the duration.

The excitement in town is readily apparent with the ski shops getting all the new equipment out and everybody gearing up for a great winter. With last ski season showing a marked improvement in visitors to Park City over the 2009-2010 season, we are hoping the trend  will continue and with abundant snowfall visitors will come.

In real estate happenings, for the off-time of the year, we are remaining relatively busy. Buyers are continuing to take advantage of low prices and low interest rates to purchase their ski property prior to the arrival of winter visitors. I had some clients in town last week and their reasoning for coming this time of the year was the of the availability of properties to look at. With very few visitors in town right now getting appointments to see property is very easy, unlike during the height of the ski season when everything is rented. So if you are contemplating purchasing a ski property this year, this is a terrific time to come out and look. The availability is high and there is great selection of properties to look at.

The start of the ski season is just days away so continue working on your strength and agility exercises, and let's go skiing!